Hiring has slowed, but joblessness remains at levels defying economic norms. Big policy changes under a new administration could test that resilience.
Category: Recession and Depression
The Economy Is Finally Stable. Will That Change With Trump?
President-elect Donald J. Trump’s proposals on tariffs, immigration, taxes and deregulation may have far-reaching and contradictory effects, adding uncertainty to forecasts.
Why Low Layoff Numbers Don’t Mean the Labor Market Is Strong
Past economic cycles show that unemployment starts to tick up ahead of a recession, with wide-scale layoffs coming only later.
Why the Fed’s Jackson Hole Meeting Matters to Wall Street
The Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City’s annual conference in Wyoming gets a lot of buzz. Here’s why it matters for Wall Street and the economy.
Stock Markets Signal Recession Fears. Here’s the Economic Outlook.
The economy has repeatedly defied predictions of a downturn since the pandemic recovery began. Now signs of strength contend with shakier readings.
Is the Boom-and-Bust Business Cycle Dead?
There is a growing view that the U.S. business cycle has changed (for better) in a more diversified economy. To some, that sounds like tempting fate.
How 33-Year-Olds, the Peak Millennials, Are Shaping the U.S. Economy
Meet the 1990 and 1991 babies, a massive microgeneration in lifelong competition for America’s economic resources, reshaping the world around them.
Economists Predicted a Recession. So Far They’ve Been Wrong.
A widely predicted recession never showed up. Now, economists are assessing what the unexpected resilience tells us about the future.
U.S. Economy Grew at 3.3% Rate in Latest Quarter
The increase in gross domestic product, while slower than in the previous period, showed the resilience of the recovery from the pandemic’s upheaval.
The U.S. Seems to Be Dodging a Recession. What Could Go Wrong?
Economists have become increasingly optimistic about the odds of a soft landing. But as 2024 begins to unfold, risks remain.